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Informationen zum Autor Award-winning author Wenyuan Li is well known and highly respected in the field of electrical power engineering. He serves as Principle Engineer at BC Hydro and is a fellow of IEEE and EIC, serving on the editorial board of several international journals.He has published five books and numerous academic papers on power systems. Klappentext A solid reference exploring one of the most important areas in the electric power industryTransmission planning is one of the most essential activities in the electric power industry, with billions of dollars invested in transmission systems by electric utility companies and governments every year. In the United States alone, the Obama Administration's energy plan is spending about four billion dollars in smart grids and transmission infrastructures.Systematically discussing probabilistic transmission planning and its applications that make systems smarter, Probabilistic Transmission System Planning addresses the concepts, models, methods, data, and various actual issues in probabilistic transmission planning. The probabilistic concept is a main thread throughout the book and touches each chapter. The applied examples are all based on real projects that have been implemented in the utility industry.All basic aspects in transmission planning are covered, including:* Load forecast and load modeling* Conventional and special system analysis techniques* Reliability evaluation* Economic assessment* Data preparation* Fuzzy techniques for data uncertainty* Network reinforcement planning* Retirement planning of network components* Substation planning* Single-circuit supply system planningMajor blackout events in power systems in recent years indicate that deterministic methods are not good enough. With probabilistic methods providing planning solutions closer to reality, Probabilistic Transmission System Planning presents practicing engineers, researchers, professors, and graduates in the power system field with the latest ideas and methods for enhancing transmission systems. Zusammenfassung The book is composed of 12 chapters and three appendices, and can be divided into four parts. The first part includes Chapters 2 to 7, which discuss the concepts, models, methods and data in probabilistic transmission planning. Inhaltsverzeichnis Preface and Acknowledgments xxi 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Overview of Transmission Planning 1 1.2 Necessity of Probabilistic Transmission Planning 6 1.3 Outline of the Book 8 2 BASIC CONCEPTS OF PROBABILISTIC PLANNING 11 2.1 Introduction 11 2.2 Probabilistic Planning Criteria 12 2.3 Procedure of Probabilistic Planning 14 2.4 Other Aspects in Probabilistic Planning 17 2.5 Conclusions 18 3 LOAD MODELING 21 3.1 Introduction 21 3.2 Load Forecast 22 3.3 Load Clustering 37 3.4 Uncertainty and Correlation of Bus Loads 42 3.5 Voltage- and Frequency-Dependent Bus Loads 44 3.6 Conclusions 46 4 SYSTEM ANALYSIS TECHNIQUES 49 4.1 Introduction 49 4.2 Power Flow 50 4.3 Probabilistic Power Flow 53 4.4 Optimal Power Flow (OPF) 57 4.5 Probabilistic Search Optimization Algorithms 64 4.6 Contingency Analysis and Ranking 72 4.7 Voltage Stability Evaluation 76 4.8 Transient Stability Solution 80 4.9 Conclusions 83 5 PROBABILISTIC RELIABILITY EVALUATION 85 5.1 Introduction 85 5.2 Reliability Indices 86 5.3 Reliability Worth Assessment 90 5.4 Substation Adequacy Evaluation 93 5.5 Composite System Adequacy Evaluation 99 5.6 Probabilistic Voltage Stability Assessment 107 5.7 Probabilistic Transient Stability Assessment 114 5.8 Conclusions 120 6 ECONOMIC ANALYSIS METHODS 123 6.1 Introduction 123 6.2 Cost Comp...
