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"This fifth edition of a highly cited textbook provides a broad overview of the study of judgments and decisions. It covers normative standards, including logic, probability, and forms of utility theory, and it explains cognitive biases that violate these standards"--
Inhaltsverzeichnis
Preface; Part I. Thinking in General: 1. What is thinking?; 2. The study of thinking; 3. Rationality; 4. Logic; Part II. Probability and Belief: 5. Normative theory of probability; 6. Descriptive theory of probability judgment; 7. Hypothesis testing; 8. Judgment of correlation and contingency; 9. Actively open-minded thinking (AOT); Part III. Decisions and Plans: 10. Choice under uncertainty: normative theory; 11. Choice under uncertainty: descriptive theory; 12. Risk; 13. Choice under certainty; 14. Utility measurement; 15. Decision analysis and values; 16. Quantitative judgment; 17. Moral judgment and choice; 18. Fairness and justice; 19. Social dilemmas: cooperation v. defection; 20. Decisions about the future; Index.
Über den Autor / die Autorin
Jonathan Baron has a BA in Psychology from Harvard and a PhD in Experimental Psychology from the University of Michigan, USA. He has published over 200 papers and several books, including Rationality and Intelligence (1985), Morality and Rational Choice (1993), Judgment Misguided (1998), and Against Bioethics (2006). From 1974 to 2013, he taught at the University of Pennsylvania, USA, where he advised 32 PhD students. He is a fellow of the American Association for the Advancement of Science, the Psychonomic Society, and the Society of Experimental Psychologists (among other groups). He is founding editor and current co-editor of Judgment and Decision Making (2006).
Zusammenfassung
This fifth edition of a highly cited textbook provides a broad overview of the study of judgments and decisions. It covers normative standards, including logic, probability, and forms of utility theory, and it explains cognitive biases that violate these standards.
Vorwort
A thorough introduction to the basic principles of judgments and decisions, emphasizing explanations over simple review of facts.
