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In this volume the methodological aspects of the scenario logic and probabilistic (LP) non-success risk management are considered. The theoretical bases of scenario non-success risk LP-management in business and engineering are also stated. Methods and algorithms for the scenario risk LP-management in problems of classification, investment and effectiveness are described. Risk LP- models and results of numerical investigations for credit risks, risk of frauds, security portfolio risk, risk of quality, accuracy, and risk in multi-stage systems reliability are given. In addition, a rather large number of new problems of estimation, analysis and management of risk are considered. Software for risk problems based on LP-methods, LP-theory, and GIE is described too.
Inhaltsverzeichnis
Management and Risk.- The Human Being and Risks .- Principles of Risk Management in Design.- Risk Management at Debugging Tests.- Risk Management in Operation Basis of Monitoring.- Risk Management on Dangerous Plant.- Bases of Logic and Probabilistic Calculus.- Logic and Probabilistic Method and Risk.- Automated Structural and Logical Modelling.- Foundations of the Risk-LP Theory.- The Risk LP-Theory with Gie in the Classification Problem.- Indentification of Risk LP-Models with Groups of Incompatible Events.- Risk Analysis in Systems with Gie.- Software for Risk Analysis.- Risk LP-Models in Business.- Logic and Probabilistic Theory of Security Portfolio Risk.- Risk LP-Models in Engineering.- Risk LP-Theory in Problems of Effectiveness.- Conclusion.- Bibliography.- Subject Index.
