Uncertainty

Zusammenfassung Uncertainty's importance in the problems of risk and policy analysis is explained in this book which outlines its source and nature! discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment and reviews methods of analyzing uncertainty. Inhaltsverzeichnis Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment; 8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you know; Index.

Dettagli sul prodotto

• Autori: Max Henrion, M. Granger Morgan, Millett Granger Morgan, Max Obnrion
• Editore: Cambridge University Press Academic
• Lingue: Inglese
• Formato: Copertina rigida
• Pubblicazione: 27.10.1990
• EAN: 9780521365420
• ISBN: 978-0-521-36542-0
• Dimensioni: 160 mm x 237 mm x 30 mm
• Categorie: Guide e manuali > Libri sul benessere, vita quotidiana > Famiglia; Libri scolastici > Didattica > Formazione professionale; Scienze sociali, diritto, economia > Scienze politiche > Scienze politiche e cittadinanza attiva