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Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 shattered the sense of security throughout Europe. As a result of the Russian invasion, cooperation between Russia and the West ended. Moreover, Russia's increasingly aggressive foreign policy increases the need for information on contemporary Russia and its future development. This book fulfills the need for more research on Russia s potential future development and trajectories as it continues to drift into a system crisis which poses significant threats to the security of Europe as a whole. This book aims to bring out a realistic view of contemporary Russia and its future development through nearly 20 articles dealing with strategic information, intelligence and foresight on Russia.
Sommario
1. Information, Intelligence and Decision-making.- 2. Open Source Information as Window into The War in Ukraine.- 3. Anatomy of Success in Strategic Intelligence - A Comparative Case Study.- 4. The transformation of the military special operations from the Czechoslovakia surprise invasion in 1968 to Ukraine in 2022.- 5. Russia s Digital War in Ukraine What has Finland learned from it.- 6. Crowdsourced Prediction for Intelligence Analysis.- 7. From Sociologists to Soldiers? Finnish Media as a Source of Strategic Information on Russia after 2014 and 2022.- 8. Contexts and production of uncertainty: interpreting weak signals in new (dis)information spaces.- 9. Strategic Deception as Part of Russian Security and Military Strategy.- 10. European Strategic Autonomy in Transatlantic Security Context.- 11. Global Conservative Turn Europe's Energy Transition and Russia.- 12. Strategic Autonomy of the EU and Russia The New Geopolitical Identity of Finland in the Energy Transition.- 13. The Geopolitical Implications of Russia s Arctic Natural Resources during the War in Ukraine.- 14. The Sino-Russian Cooperation in the Arctic The Potential for Tectonic Shift.- 15. Domestic Politics and Power Struggle in Russia during the War in Ukraine.- 16. Russia's Nuclear Arms Capability Certain Implications for the Nordic-Baltic Region and Beyond.- 17. A Future of Russia A Lack of Strategic Information on Russia s Future Path.
Info autore
Kari Liuhto is Finland’s first Professor of Intelligence Studies at the National Defence University and the University of Turku.
Joonas Sipilä is Research Director at the Finnish Defence Command. He has worked in the Finnish Defence Forces in various positions since 2001. Sipilä is also an Associate Professor at the National Defence University.
Riassunto
Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 shattered the sense of security throughout Europe. As a result of the Russian invasion, cooperation between Russia and the West ended. Moreover, Russia's increasingly aggressive foreign policy increases the need for information on contemporary Russia and its future development. This book fulfills the need for more research on Russia’s potential future development and trajectories as it continues to drift into a system crisis which poses significant threats to the security of Europe as a whole. This book aims to bring out a realistic view of contemporary Russia and its future development through nearly 20 articles dealing with strategic information, intelligence and foresight on Russia.
