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Zusatztext '(an) impressively comprehensive new book on the wonders of probability' Informationen zum Autor John Haigh is Reader in Statistics at the University of Sussex. His interest in probability was awakened by various card games, and he has made a particular study of lotteries, cards, and dice. Klappentext Taking Chances presents an entertaining and fascinating exploration of probability, revealing traps and fallacies in the field. It describes and analyzes a remarkable variety of situations where chance plays a role, including football pools, the Lottery, TV games, sport, cards, roulette, coins, and dice. The book guides the reader round common pitfalls, demonstrates how to make better informed decisions, and shows where the odds can be unexpectedly in your favor. This new edition has been fully updated, and includes information on "Who Wants to be a Millionaire?" and "The Weakest Link," plus a new chapter on Probability for Lawyers. Zusammenfassung What are the odds against winning the Lottery, making money in a casino, or backing the right horse? Every day, people make judgements on these matters, yet many of us are ignorant of how probability works. This exploration reveals traps and fallacies in the field, describing and analysing a variety of situations where chance plays a role Inhaltsverzeichnis 1: What is probability? 2: Lotteries 3: Football Pools, Premium Bonds 4: One coin, many games 5: Dice 6: Games with few choices 7: Waiting, waiting, waiting 8: Let's play best of three 9: TV games 10: Casino games 11: Bookies, the Tote, spread betting 12: This sporting life 13: Lucky for some--miscellenea 14: Probability for lawyers Appendix I: Counting Appendix II: Probability Appendix III: Averages and variability Appendix IV: Goodness-of-fit tests Appendix V: The Kelly strategy Solutions to Test Yourself quizzes Literature cited Index ...
