How to Predict Everything

Informationen zum Autor William Poundstone is the author of seventeen books including How to Predict Everything , How to Predict the Unpredictabl e and Are You Smart Enough to Work at Google? He has written for the Economist , New York Times , Harper’s and Harvard Business Review , among others. You can find out more about him on his website: william-poundstone.com Klappentext How do you predict something that has never happened before? There's a useful calculation being employed by Wall Street, Silicon Valley and maths professors all over the world, and it predicts that the human species will become extinct in 760 years. Unfortunately, there is disagreement over how to apply the formula, and some argue that we might only have twenty years left. Originally devised by British clergyman Thomas Bayes, the theorem languished in obscurity for two hundred years before being resurrected as the lynchpin of the digital economy. With brief detours into archaeology, philology, and overdue library books, William Poundstone explains how we can use it to predict pretty much anything. What is the chance that there are multiple universes? How long will Hamilton run? Will the US stock market continue to perform as well this century as it has for the last hundred years? And are we really all doomed?

Dettagli sul prodotto

• Autori: William Poundstone, Poundstone William
• Editore: Oneworld
• Lingue: Inglese
• Formato: Tascabile
• Pubblicazione: 30.06.2019
• EAN: 9781786075710
• ISBN: 978-1-78607-571-0
• Pagine: 306
• Dimensioni: 134 mm x 215 mm x 22 mm
• Categorie: Scienze sociali, diritto, economia > Economia; POLITICAL SCIENCE / General, SOCIAL SCIENCE / Future Studies, BUSINESS & ECONOMICS / Business Mathematics, MATHEMATICS / Probability & Statistics / Bayesian Analysis, Social forecasting, future studies, Popular economics, Popular and recreational mathematics, Popular mathematics