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Alex Cowie As the twentieth century draws to a close, one of our greatest problems is the availability of energy. One way to study the energy problem is to resolve it into four areas: energy demand, energy sources, transportation of energy from sources to demand centers, and the optimal allocation of energy forms to demands. Each of these areas is extremely complex by itself. When efforts are made to tie them together, for example, to produce a National Policy, the complexities are compounded. Another way to study the energy problem, because of its political and social consequences, is to resolve it into geographical areas. Individual provinces of Canada or states of the United States will have their concerns about energy within their geographical boundaries. As producer, consumer, or both, each wants to ensure an energy development program which will work to the maximum benefit of its citizens. Similarly, countries endeavor to protect their citizens and undertake energy policies that will assure either a continuation of the existing quality of life or - particularly in the case of "Third World" countries - a marked improvement in quality of life. These competing and conflicting goals call for a study which encompasses the whole world. Again, complexity is piled upon complexity. If the prob lem is not yet sufficiently complex, there is an equally complex question of the effect of energy production and use on the ecology.
List of contents
I The Process of Energy Policy Modeling References.- 1 Why should Energy Models Form a Significant Policy Input in an Uncertain Political World?.- 2 Crash Mode Modeling: Analyzing the National Energy Plan.- 3 The Evaluation of Sponsored Research in Energy Storage.- 4 A Dynamic Welfare Equilibrium Framework for Projecting Energy Futures.- 5 Panel Discussion on Important Canadian Energy Decisions for the 1980s and Beyond.- II National and Regional Energy Modeling Concepts and Methods References.- 6 A Survey of Some Energy Policy Models.- 7 The Brookhaven Energy System Optimization Model: Its Variants and Uses.- 8 An Integrated Forecasting Model: A Progress Report.- 9 Network Based Regional Energy Planning Models: An Evolutionary Exposé.- 10 The Alberta Energy Resources Allocation Model.- 11 An Alberta Energy Planning Model.- 12 Time Horizons in Energy Planning Models.- 12a Appendix.- 13 How should We Compare Forecasting Models When They Differ?.- 14 Panel Discussion on the Future of National Energy Modeling.- III The Canadian-United States Gas Pipeline References.- 15 Canadian Perspectives on the Alaska Highway Pipeline: Modeling the Alternatives.- 15a Appendix.- 16 Analyzing Alaskan Gas Distribution Options.- IV The Problems of Financing Energy Development Projects References.- 17 Financing Canadian Energy to 1990: Some Supply Side Constraints.- 18 The Demand for Funds for Energy Investment in Canada.- 19 Potential Capital Cost and Financing Required for Canadian Energy Projects.
