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Summarises the currently available seismic and engineering data pertaining to the seismic hazard of the capitals of the Central Asian republics. The conclusion is that the risk to residents of these cities is extremely high. There is a roughly 40% probability that an earthquake will occur near one of the Central Asian republic's capitals within the next 20 years. Such an event will produce ground shaking in the affected city equal to the maximum ground shaking experienced in Armenia and Sakhalin, i.e. MSK IX. The event will cause tens of thousands of fatalities and at least 100,000 serious injuries.
Audience: All people interested in the development of the post-Soviet Central Asian Republics. Earthquake engineers in particular will appreciate the summary of the latest seismic hazard and building vulnerability data of the region; the best compilation of these data available in the English language.
List of contents
Seismic Hazard of the Central Asia Region.- Earthquake Resistance of Multi-Story Residential Buildings in Central Asian Capital Cities.- Seismic Hazard and Building Vulnerability in Kazakhstan.- Seismic Hazard and Building Vulnerability in Kyrgyzstan.- Seismic Hazard and Building Vulnerability in Tajikistan.- Seismic Hazard and Building Vulnerability in Turkmenistan.- Seismic Hazard and Building Vulnerability in Uzbekistan.- Destruction of Standard Residential Buildings in the 1988 Spitak, Armenia Earthquake.- The December 7, 1988 Spitak, Armenia Earthquake: Results of Analysis of Structural Behavior.- Lessons of the 1995 Sakhalin and 1994 Kuril Islands Earthquakes.- Assessment of Seismic Resistance of Soviet Mass Construction Buildings - Almaty as an Example.- Appendix: Forms and Questions for Workshop Participants.
Summary
Proceedings of the NATO Advanced Research Workshop on Earthquake Risk Management Strategies for Post-Soviet Central Asian Republics: Avoiding Repetition of 1988 Sakhalin Disasters, held in Almaty, Kazakhstan, 22-25 October 1996
