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Informationen zum Autor Jinping Sun (California State University, Bakersfield, USA) (Edited by) , Thomas D. Lynch (Louisiana State University, Baton Rouge, USA) (Edited by) Klappentext Revenue and expenditure forecasting is often overlooked in the budget process. Based on the collaboration of budget scholars and practitioners, this volume examines U.S. forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, utilizing case studies of various states, including California and Texas. It highlights such issues as casino tax revenues and welfare caseloads to clearly define budget forecasting, explain its importance, and describe how budget forecasts are prepared. The authors explore consensus systems and risk assessment, considering political factors and the costs of forecast errors, concluding with a call for transparency and a look at forecasting practices in emerging countries. Zusammenfassung Examines US forecast practices at the federal, state, and local levels, utilizing case studies of states that include California and Texas. This book highlights such issues as casino tax revenues and welfare caseloads to define budget forecasting, explain its importance, and describe how budget forecasts are prepared. Inhaltsverzeichnis Federal Revenue Forecasting. The State of the Art: Revenue Forecasting in U.S. State Government. Forecasting State Revenues in Louisiana: From Dramatic Changes in the Oil and Gas Industry in the 1970s and 1980s to the Aftermath of Catastrophic Hurricanes in the 2000s. Budget Forecasting for the State of California. Forecasting the Personal Income Tax. Income Tax Forecasting in Minnesota. Methods and Issues in Forecasting Casino Tax Revenue. Estimating and Forecasting Welfare Caseloads. Forecast Evaluation: A Case Study. Using Census Data to Forecast New Local Sales Taxes. Does Revenue Forecasting Responsibility Matter: The Case of Milwaukee, Wisconsin. Evaluating Revenue Forecasting in City Governments: A Survey of Texas Finance Directors. Pro Forma Forecasting for Determining Financial Position of Enterprise Operations in Government. Preparing Data for Forecasting. Consensus Forecasting for Budgeting in Theory and Practice. Use of Consensus Revenue Forecasting in the U.S. State Governments. State Revenue Forecasting in the State of Indiana: A Consensus System in a Politically Divided State. Consensus Revenue Estimating in State Government: A Case of What Works in Kansas. Forecast Errors: Balancing the Risks and Costs of Being Wrong. State Fiscal Management: What Practitioners Can Learn from Risk Management Theory. State Tax Portfolios: An Integrated Methodology for Forecasting and Analysis. Forecasting Revenues and Expenditures in the Public Sector: Guidance from a Code of Ethics. Transparency in Government Revenue Forecasting. Incorporating Fiscal Architecture into Budget Forecasting. Forecasting Practices in Emerging Countries: The Morocco Experience. ...
