Uncertainty

Zusammenfassung Uncertainty's importance in the problems of risk and policy analysis is explained in this book which outlines its source and nature! discusses techniques for obtaining and using expert judgment and reviews methods of analyzing uncertainty. Inhaltsverzeichnis Preface; 1. Introduction; 2. Recent milestones; 3. An overview of quantitative policy analysis; 4. The nature and sources of uncertainty; 5. Probability distributions and statistical estimation; 6. Human judgement about and with uncertainty; 7. Performing probability assessment; 8. The propagation and analysis of uncertainty; 9. The graphic communication of uncertainty; 10. Analytica: a software tool for uncertainty analysis; 11. Large and complex models; 12. The value of knowing how little you know; Index.

Product details

• Authors: Max Henrion, Henrion Max, M. Granger Morgan, Millett Granger Morgan, Morgan Millett Granger, Max Obnrion
• Publisher: Cambridge University Press Academic
• Languages: English
• Product format: Hardback
• Released: 27.10.1990
• EAN: 9780521365420
• ISBN: 978-0-521-36542-0
• Dimensions: 160 mm x 237 mm x 30 mm
• Subjects: Education and learning > Teaching preparation > Vocational needs; Guides > Self-help, everyday life > Family; Social sciences, law, business > Political science > Political science and political education; Business and Management, PSYCHOLOGY / Cognitive Psychology & Cognition, Business & management, Management decision making