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This important volume tackles the potential problems of international military disarmament. Distinguished scholars across several disciplines discuss possible negative economic and social consequences, including unemployment, conversion costs, and the related hampered growth of research and development, associated with the conversion from a military industrial economy to a civilian complex. The authors present techniques for managing sectoral and regional economic imbalances and conclude that disarmament would ultimately release resources for foreign aid to close the gap between the world's haves and have-nots.
Divided into three parts (Models of Disarmament and Conflict Analysis, Economic Conversion, and Management of Peace), this volume addresses specific topics such as techniques of management conflict, factors affecting military expenditures, new prospects for an East-West relationship, American strategic policy and NATO, defense expenditure and economic conversion, Third World arms production, and regional conflict in the wake of superpower convergence. These analyses and discussions will be of particular interest to scholars of Peace Studies, Political Science, Economics, Sociology, and Military Studies.
List of contents
Preface
Introduction by Manas Chatterji
Models of Disarmament and Conflict AnalysisUse of Management and Peace Science Techniques for Conflict Management by Manas Chatterji
Computing the Solution to a Conflict Situation by Means of Continuous Multicriteria Analysis by M.A.J.J. van Gastel and J.H.P. Paelinck
A Comparison of Some Analytical Procedures for Nonmetric Information in Conflict Analysis by Hans J. Blommestein and Peter Nijkamp
Models for Projecting Economic-Ecologic and Internation Conflict by Walter Isard
A New Look at the Relationship Among Arms Races, Disarmament, and the Probability of War by Charles Anderton
Internal and External Factors Affecting Military Expenditures by Carlos Seiglie
The Chicken's Dilemma: American Strategic Policy and NATO by Glenn Palmer
Cobb-Douglas Games of Mutual Security and Disarmament by Thomas Fogarty
Third World Disarmament and Economic Development by Manas Chatterji
Defense Expenditures and Economic Growth in the LDCs: Reconciling Theory and Empirical Results by F. Gerard Adams, Jere R. Behrman, and Michael D. Boldin
Economic ConversionProspects and Problems of a Change from Military to Civilian Industrial Complex by Manas Chatterji
Two Futures for the American Economy: The Role of Economic Conversion by Seymour Melman
Reduction of Defense Expenditure and Economic Conversion by Betty Lall
Public Law for Economic Conversion by Honorable Ted Weiss, Congressman from New York
Trade-Offs Between Military and Civilian Programs in Warsaw Pact Countries by Miroslaw Gronicki and Lawrence R. Klein
Perestroika in the U.S.S.R. and the Prospects for Disarmament by Mikhail Babichev
A Conceptual Framework for the Study of Arms Production in the Third World by Arun P. Elhance
Some Comparative Dynamics of Economic Conversion by Kieran P. Donaghy
The Two Cultures of Peace Research and the Case for Economic Conversion by Linda Rennie Forcey
Management of PeaceParallel Ways of Integrating the World by Jan Tinbergen
Economists and the Development of Peace by Dietrich Fischer and Robert Schwartz
Soviet "New Thinking" and the Prospects for a New East-West Relationship by Michael Intriligator
Convergence: A New Look at U.S.-U.S.S.R. Relations by Leonard Starobin
The Scope and Limits of International Cooperation for World Peace: A Lesson from International Economic Policy Coordination by Akira Hattori
Strategic Trade and the Incentive for Cooperation by Solomon W. Polachek and Judith A. McDonald
Notes on a Third Paradigm: Well-Formed Event Texts as a Data Model of Terrorist Actions by Keith Duncan and Steven Gale
Postscript: Regional Conflict in the Wake of Superpower Convergence by Manas Chatterji
Bibliography
Index
About the author
Manas Chatterji, Linda Rennie Forcey
