Interpreting Congressional Elections - The Curious Case of the Incumbency Effect

List of contents

Part I: A Conventional Wisdom and Its Importance
1. The Fortunes of Incumbents and Interpreting Political Change
2. Vanishing Marginals, a Research Agenda, and Political Responsiveness
Part II: The Data and Doubts
3. The Basics: Percentages, Averages, and Careers
4. The Presidential–House Connection Issue
5. The Gelman-King Estimation (and the Role of Open Seats)
Part III: The Role and Emergence of a Paradigm
6. The Puzzle and an Interpretative Framework: Kuhn
7. Embracing One Paradigm and Discarding Another
8. A Consensus and Normal Science
9. Embracing and Sustaining a Paradigm: Why?
Part IV: An Alternative
10. An Alternative Framework and Analysis
11. Paradigms and Understanding American Politics
Bibliography
Index

About the author

Jeffrey M. Stonecash is Emeritus Maxwell Professor of Political Science at Syracuse University. He is the author or editor of over twenty books on American political parties, polling, and elections.

Product details

• Authors: Jeffrey M. Stonecash, Stonecash Jeffrey M.
• Publisher: Taylor & Francis Ltd.
• Languages: English
• Product format: Hardback
• Released: 01.06.2018
• EAN: 9781138479869
• ISBN: 978-1-138-47986-9
• No. of pages: 254
• Subjects: Social sciences, law, business > Political science > Political science and political education; USA, Political Parties, POLITICAL SCIENCE / General, United States of America, USA, Social research & statistics, Elections & referenda, Social research and statistics, Political parties and party platforms, Elections and referenda / suffrage