Evidential Decision Theory

Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions.

List of contents

1. Introduction; 2. News Value; 3. Self-signalling; 4. Randomization; 5. Harmony; 6. Conclusion; Appendix A: Non-binary News Value; Appendix B: Randomization and Accuracy; Appendix C: Jeffrey-Bolker Representation Theorem.

Summary

Evidential Decision Theory is a radical theory of rational decision-making. It recommends that instead of thinking about what your decisions *cause*, you should think about what they *reveal*. This Element explains in simple terms why thinking in this way makes a big difference, and argues that doing so makes for *better* decisions.

Product details

• Authors: Arif Ahmed, Arif (University of Cambridge) Ahmed
• Publisher: Cambridge University Press ELT
• Languages: English
• Product format: Paperback / Softback
• Released: 30.09.2021
• EAN: 9781108713399
• ISBN: 978-1-108-71339-9
• No. of pages: 75
• Series: Elements in Decision Theory and Philosophy
• Subjects: Non-fiction book > Philosophy, religion > Philosophy: general, reference works; Social sciences, law, business > Media, communication > Communication science; PHILOSOPHY / Logic, Philosophy, SCIENCE / Philosophy & Social Aspects, MATHEMATICS / Game Theory, Philosophy of Science, Philosophy: logic, Decision theory: general