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Climate change is rapidly melting Arctic ice unlocking natural resources in contestable areas. This disruption has led to warnings of a return of the Great Game in which states scramble to project power to the ends of the earth to engage in militarized resource competition. Which states will have the strongest interest in securing control over these resources and will they pursue these interests by projecting military force? In Perils of Plenty, Jonathan N.
Markowitz answers this question and sheds light on the prospects for the future of resource competition in the Arctic and beyond from the deserts of the Middle East to the tropic of the South China Sea.
About the author
Jonathan N. Markowitz is Assistant Professor in the International Relations and Political Science Department at the University of Southern California, where he is also a Co-Founder and Co-PI of both the Security and Political Economy Lab and East Grand Strategy Program. His research focuses on how economics shape what foreign goals states adopt and whether they pursue those interests by investing in projecting military power. He has published broadly on issues related to the political economy of security including power projection, grand strategy, great power conflict, the political implications of climate change, and resource competition. His work has been published in International Studies Quarterly, The Journal of Peace Research, and Journal of Conflict Resolution, among other journals.
Summary
Among scholars who focus on the politics of natural resources, conventional wisdom asserts that resource-scarce states have the strongest interest in securing control over resources. Counterintuitively, however, in Perils of Plenty, Jonathan N. Markowitz finds that the opposite is true. In actuality, what states make influences what they want to take. Specifically, Markowitz argues that the more economically dependent states are on resource extraction rents for income, the stronger their preferences will be to secure control over resources. He tests the theory with a set of case studies that analyze how states reacted to the 2007 exogenous climate shock that exposed energy resources in the Arctic. Given the dangerous potential for conflict escalation in the Middle East and the South China Sea and the continued shrinkage of the polar ice cap, this book speaks to a genuinely important development in world politics that will have implications for understanding the political effects of climate change for many years to come.
