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This book presents the theory of anticipation, and establishes anticipation of the future as a legitimate topic of research. It examines anticipatory behavior, i.e. a behavior that 'uses' the future in its actual decisional process. The book shows that anticipation violates neither the ontological order of time nor causation. It explores the question of how different kinds of systems anticipate, and examines the risks and uses of such anticipatory practices. The book first summarizes the research on anticipation conducted within a range of different disciplines, and describes the connection between the anticipatory point of view and futures studies. Following that, its chapters on Wholes, Time and Emergence, make explicit the ontological framework within which anticipation finds its place. It then goes on to discuss Systems, Complexity, and the Modeling Relation, and provides the scientific background supporting anticipation. It restricts formal technicalities to one chapter, and presents those technicalities twice, in formal and plain words to advance understanding. The final chapter shows that all the threads presented in the previous chapters naturally converge toward what has come to be called "Discipline of Anticipation"
List of contents
Chapter 1. An Outline Map of Anticipation.- Chapter 2. Understanding the Future.- Chapter 3 Wholes.- Chapter 4 Time.- Chapter 5. Emergence.- Chapter 6. Systems.- Chapter 7. Complexity.- Chapter 8. The Modeling Relation.- Chapter 9. The Discipline of Anticipation.
About the author
Roberto Poli (PhD Utrecht) has been awarded the first UNESCO Chair in Anticipatory Systems, teaches social foresight and philosophy of science, is fellow of WAAS—World Academy of Art and Science and STIAS—Stellenbosch Institute for Advanced Study. Poli is editor-in-chief of Axiomathes and the Handbook of Anticipation and he is the director of the master in Social Foresight. Poli has published five books, edited or co-edited more than 20 books or journal’s special issues and published about 250 scientific papers. His present work is focused on the theory of anticipatory systems, i.e. system able to take decisions according to their possible future development.
Summary
First systematic introduction to the discipline of anticipation
Explains the relevance of anticipation for biology, cognitive and social sciences
Improves theories and models of individual and collective human behavior and its consequences
Describes the connection between the anticipatory point of view and futures studies
