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This book explores how human factors, in particular the contested notion of trust, influence the conduct and practice of arms control verification.
In the nuclear arena, disarmament verification is often viewed purely in terms of a dispassionate, scientific process. Yet this view is fundamentally flawed since the technical impossibility of 100 per cent verification opens the door to a host of complex issues and questions regarding the process and its outcomes. Central among these is the fact that those involved in any verification inspection process must inevitably conduct their work in a space that falls well short of absolute certainty. The lines between scientific enquiry and human psychology can become blurred and outcomes have the potential to be influenced by perceptions.
Drawing on extensive empirical evidence, the authors explore the complex interplay between evidence-based judgements and perceptions of intentions that frames the science of verification. The book provides new insights into the role and influence of human factors in the verification process, shedding light on this 'blind spot' of verification research. It is an invaluable resource for practitioners, academics and students working in arms control and disarmament.
List of contents
Introduction.- Chapter 1: Verification in the Nuclear Arena: Nature, Significance and Practice.- Chapter 2: Verifying Nuclear Warhead Dismantlement.- Chapter 3: Trust, Confidence and the Human Side of Verification.- Chapter 4: Trust and Verify?.- Chapter 5: Trust and Verification: Empirical Insights.- Conclusion: Looking to the Future
About the author
Professor Wyn Bowen is Head of the School of Security Studies at King's College London. He is author of
Living on the Edge: Iran and the Practice of Nuclear Hedging (Palgrave Macmillan, 2016)
Dr Hassan Elbahtimy is a Post-Doctoral Researcher within the Centre for Science and Security Studies. He was previously a Senior Researcher at VERTIC and worked on the Arms Control Desk of the Egyptian Ministry of Foreign Affairs
Dr Christopher Hobbs is Co-Director of the Centre for Science and Security Studies and a Reader in Science and Security in the War Studies Department at King's College London. He is author of
Exploring Regional Responses to a Nuclear Iran: Nuclear Dominoes?(Palgrave Macmillan, 2014) and editor of
Open Source Intelligence in the Twenty-First Century: New Approaches and Challenges(Palgrave Macmillan, 2014)
Matthew Moran is Co-Director of the Centre for Science and Security Studies and a Reader in International Security in the Department of War Studies at King's College London. He is author of
Living on the Edge: Iran and the Practice of Nuclear Hedging(Palgrave Macmillan, 2016) and
Exploring Regional Responses to a Nuclear Iran: Nuclear Dominoes? (Palgrave Macmillan, 2014).
Summary
This book explores how human factors, in particular the contested notion of trust, influence the conduct and practice of arms control verification.
In the nuclear arena, disarmament verification is often viewed purely in terms of a dispassionate, scientific process. Yet this view is fundamentally flawed since the technical impossibility of 100 per cent verification opens the door to a host of complex issues and questions regarding the process and its outcomes. Central among these is the fact that those involved in any verification inspection process must inevitably conduct their work in a space that falls well short of absolute certainty. The lines between scientific enquiry and human psychology can become blurred and outcomes have the potential to be influenced by perceptions.
Drawing on extensive empirical evidence, the authors explore the complex interplay between evidence-based judgements and perceptions of intentions that frames the science of verification. The book provides new insights into the role and influence of human factors in the verification process, shedding light on this ‘blind spot’ of verification research. It is an invaluable resource for practitioners, academics and students working in arms control and disarmament.
Additional text
“The book successfully explores a unique, understudied aspect of the verification process. The authors clearly articulate the influences of human factors in the process, and the simulations they conducted provide substantial insights into those influences, supporting the overall conclusions.” (Steven Brunts, H-Net Reviews Humanities and Social Sciences, January, 2020)
Report
"The book successfully explores a unique, understudied aspect of the verification process. The authors clearly articulate the influences of human factors in the process, and the simulations they conducted provide substantial insights into those influences, supporting the overall conclusions." (Steven Brunts, H-Net Reviews Humanities and Social Sciences, January, 2020)
