China's Macroeconomic Outlook - Quarterly Forecast and Analysis Report, February 2017

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the "China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM)," a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM, the research team forecasts China's major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including GDP growth rate, CPI, PPI, investment in fixed assets, household consumption, imports, exports, and foreign reserves. Moreover, it simulates different scenarios to study the effects of macroeconomic policy on the Chinese economy. In addition to helping readers to understand China's economic trends and policies, this book has three main goals: to help readers understand China's economic performance; to forecast the major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters; and to simulate the effectiveness of macroeconomic policy.

List of contents

Preface.- Acknowledgements.- Executive Summary.- 1 China Economic Performance In 2016.- 2 Quarterly Forecast for 2017-18.- 3 Policy Simulation: Effects of Rebalancing the Chinese Economy.- 4 Policy Implications and Suggestions.- 5 Comments and discussion.- Appendix Report on China's Macroeconomic Situation and Policy Questionnaire.

Summary

This book is a quarterly forecast and analysis report on the Chinese economy. It is published twice a year and presents ongoing results from the “China Quarterly Macroeconomic Model (CQMM),” a research project at the Center for Macroeconomic Research (CMR) at Xiamen University. Based on the CQMM, the research team forecasts China’s major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters, including GDP growth rate, CPI, PPI, investment in fixed assets, household consumption, imports, exports, and foreign reserves. Moreover, it simulates different scenarios to study the effects of macroeconomic policy on the Chinese economy. In addition to helping readers to understand China’s economic trends and policies, this book has three main goals: to help readers understand China’s economic performance; to forecast the major macroeconomic indicators for the next 8 quarters; and to simulate the effectiveness of macroeconomic policy.  

Product details

• Authors: Xiamen University Center for Macroeconomic Research of, Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen Univer, Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University, Center for Macroeconomic Research of Xiamen University
• Publisher: Springer, Berlin
• Languages: English
• Product format: Paperback / Softback
• Released: 01.01.2018
• EAN: 9789811355738
• ISBN: 978-981-1355-73-8
• No. of pages: 65
• Dimensions: 155 mm x 4 mm x 235 mm
• Weight: 147 g
• Illustrations: XVII, 65 p. 41 illus., 36 illus. in color.
• Series: Current Chinese Economic Report Series; Current Chinese Economic Report Series
• Subjects: Social sciences, law, business > Business > Economics; B, Economics, macroeconomics, Economics and Finance, Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics, Macroeconomics/Monetary Economics//Financial Economics, Monetary Economics, Management science, Quantitative Economics, Economy-wide Country Studies, Asia—Economic conditions, Asian Economics, Econometrics & economic statistics, Econometrics