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Informationen zum Autor John H. Aldrich is Pfizer-Pratt University Professor of Political Science at Duke University. He is author of Why Parties: A Second Look (2011), coeditor of Positive Changes in Political Science (2007), and author of Why Parties (1995) and Before the Convention (1980). He is a past president of both the Southern Political Science Association and the Midwest Political Science Association and is serving as president of the American Political Science Association. In 2001 he was elected a fellow in the American Academy of Arts and Sciences. Brad T. Gomez is associate professor of political science at Florida State University. His research interests focus on voting behavior and public opinion with a particular interest in how citizens attribute responsibility for socio-political events. His published work appears in the American Political Science Review , the American Journal of Political Science , the Journal of Politics , and other journals and edited volumes. David W. Rohde is Ernestine Friedl Professor of Political Science and director of the Political Institutions and Public Choice Program at Duke University. He is coeditor of Why Not Parties? (2008), author of Parties and Leaders in the Postreform House (1991), coeditor of Home Style and Washington Work (1989), and coauthor of Supreme Court Decision Making (1976). Klappentext Is America in the midst of an electoral transformation? What were the sources of Trump’s victory in 2016, and how do they differ from Republican coalitions of the past? Does his victory signal a long-term positive trajectory for Republicans’ chances in presidential elections? Change and Continuity in the 2016 Elections attempts to answer those questions by analyzing and explaining the voting behavior in the most recent election, as well as setting the results in the context of larger trends and patterns in elections studies. New co-author Jamie L. Carson brings years of congressional and election research experience to help this top-notch author team meticulously explain the latest National Election Studies data and discuss its importance and impact. You will critically analyze a variety of variables such as the presidential and congressional elections, voter turnout, and the social forces, party loyalties, and prominent issues that affect voting behavior. You will also walk away with a better understanding of this groundbreaking election and what those results mean for the future of American politics. Inhaltsverzeichnis Tables and Figures Preface About the Authors INTRODUCTION Change and Continuity Voters and the Act of Voting Survey Research Sampling Plan of the Book PART I. THE 2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION CHAPTER 1. The Nomination Struggle Who Ran The Rules of the Nomination System Strategy and the Candidates' Campaigns in 2016: The Electoral Setting and How the Candidates Won Their Nominations CHAPTER 2. The General Election Campaign The Strategic Context and Candidates' Choices Political Context, Overall Strategy, and Opening Moves From the Conventions to the Debates The End Game and the Struggle over Turnout Did the Campaign Make a Difference? CHAPTER 3. The Election Results The Election Rules The Pattern of Results State-by-State Results Electoral Change in the Postwar South The Electoral Vote Balance PART II. VOTING BEHAVIOR IN THE 2016 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION CHAPTER 4. Who Voted? Voter Turnout, 1789-1916 Voter Turnout, 1920-2016 Voter Turnout among Social Groups Changes in Turnout after 1960 Election-Specific Factors Does Low Voter Turnout Matter? CHAPTER 5. Social Forces and the Vote How Social Groups Voted in 2016 How Social Gr...
