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Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods examines the application of artificial intelligence methods to model economic data. Traditionally, economic modeling has been modeled in the linear domain where the principles of superposition are valid. The application of artificial intelligence for economic modeling allows for a flexible multi-order non-linear modeling. In addition, game theory has largely been applied in economic modeling. However, the inherent limitation of game theory when dealing with many player games encourages the use of multi-agent systems for modeling economic phenomena.
The artificial intelligence techniques used to model economic data include:
- multi-layer perceptron neural networks
- radial basis functions
- support vector machines
- rough sets
- genetic algorithm
- particle swarm optimization
- simulated annealing
- multi-agent system
- incremental learning
- fuzzy networks
Signal processing techniques are explored to analyze economic data, and these techniques are the time domain methods, time-frequency domain methods and fractals dimension approaches. Interesting economic problems such as causality versus correlation, simulating the stock market, modeling and controling inflation, option pricing, modeling economic growth as well as portfolio optimization are examined. The relationship between economic dependency and interstate conflict is explored, and knowledge on how economics is useful to foster peace - and vice versa - is investigated. Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods deals with the issue of causality in the non-linear domain and applies the automatic relevance determination, the evidence framework, Bayesian approach and Granger causality to understand causality and correlation.
Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods makes an important contribution to the area of econometrics,and is a valuable source of reference for graduate students, researchers and financial practitioners.
List of contents
Foreword.- Preface.- Acknowledgements.- Introduction to Economic Modeling.- Techniques for Economic Modeling: Unlocking the Character of Data.- Automatic Relevance Determination in Economic Modeling.- Neural Approaches to Economic Modeling.- Bayesian Support Vector Machines for Economic Modeling: Application to Option Pricing.- Rough Sets Approach to Economic Modeling: Unlocking Knowledge in Financial Data.- Missing Data Approaches to Economic Modeling: Optimization Approach.- Correlations versus Causality Approaches to Economic Modeling.- Evolutionary Approaches to Computational Economics: Application to Portfolio Optimization.- Real-time Approaches to Computational Economics: Self Adaptive Economic Systems.- Multi-Agent Approaches to Economic Modeling: Game Theory, Ensembles, Evolution and the Stock Market.- Control Approaches to Economic Modeling: Application to Inflation Targeting.- Modeling Interstate Conflict: The Role of Economic Interdependency for Maintaining Peace.- Conclusions and Further Work.- Index.
About the author
Tshilidzi Marwala is the Executive Dean of the Faculty of Engineering and the Built Environment at the University of Johannesburg. He was previously the Adhominem Professor of Electrical Engineering as well as the Carl and Emily Fuchs Chair of Systems and Control Engineering at the University of the Witwatersrand. He is a Fellow of the Royal Society of Arts as well as the Royal Statistical Society. He holds a PhD in Engineering from the University of Cambridge and a PLD from Harvard University in the USA. He was a post-doctoral research associate at Imperial College working in the general area of computational intelligence. He has been a visiting fellow at Harvard University and Cambridge University. His research interests include the application of computational intelligence to mechanical. civil, aerospace and biomedical engineering. Professor Marwala has made fundamental contributions to engineering including the development of the concept of pseudo-modal energies and the development of Bayesian framework for solving engineering problems such as finite element model updating. He has supervised 40 masters and PhD students many of whom have proceeded to distinguish themselves at universities such as Harvard, Oxford and Cambridge. He has published over 200 papers in journals such as the American Institute of Aeronautics and Astronautics Journal, proceedings and book chapters. He has published two books: Computational Intelligence for Modelling Complex Systems published by Research India Publications as well as Computational Intelligence for Missing Data Imputation, Estimation, and Management: Knowledge Optimization Techniques published by the IGI Global Publications (New York). His work has appeared in prestigious publications such as New Scientist. He is a senior member of the IEEE.
Summary
Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods
examines the application of artificial intelligence methods to model economic data. Traditionally, economic modeling has been modeled in the linear domain where the principles of superposition are valid. The application of artificial intelligence for economic modeling allows for a flexible multi-order non-linear modeling. In addition, game theory has largely been applied in economic modeling. However, the inherent limitation of game theory when dealing with many player games encourages the use of multi-agent systems for modeling economic phenomena.
The artificial intelligence techniques used to model economic data include:
- multi-layer perceptron neural networks
- radial basis functions
- support vector machines
- rough sets
- genetic algorithm
- particle swarm optimization
- simulated annealing
- multi-agent system
- incremental learning
- fuzzy networks
Signal processing techniques are explored to analyze economic data, and these techniques are the time domain methods, time-frequency domain methods and fractals dimension approaches. Interesting economic problems such as causality versus correlation, simulating the stock market, modeling and controling inflation, option pricing, modeling economic growth as well as portfolio optimization are examined. The relationship between economic dependency and interstate conflict is explored, and knowledge on how economics is useful to foster peace – and vice versa – is investigated. Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods deals with the issue of causality in the non-linear domain and applies the automatic relevance determination, the evidence framework, Bayesian approach and Granger causality to understand causality and correlation.
Economic Modeling Using Artificial Intelligence Methods makes an important contribution to the area of econometrics,and is a valuable source of reference for graduate students, researchers and financial practitioners.
Additional text
From the reviews:
“The book explores the application of artificial intelligence methods to economic data modelling. … the book is well addressed to graduate students as well as researchers and practitioners in the field of finance and economics.” (Vangelis Grigoroudis, zbMATH, Vol. 1269, 2013)
Report
From the reviews:
"The book explores the application of artificial intelligence methods to economic data modelling. ... the book is well addressed to graduate students as well as researchers and practitioners in the field of finance and economics." (Vangelis Grigoroudis, zbMATH, Vol. 1269, 2013)
