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Futures Market movement always depends on the fluctuation of the spot market. Elements of the futures market such as Open Interest, Trade volume, Volatility of futures return and Turn over are having direct link with futures return. Underlying Market return is the major influencing factor of the futures market, but the uncertain events of the futures market can be explained by observing the different relation ships of variables in the futures market.Market Depth, Market Volatility and market Trends are having causal relationship with futures return. Market responses and reflections are explained by the study with the help of econometric models like VAR Granger Causality/Block Exogeniety test, Impulse Response Function and Variance Decomposition.Indian stock and derivative markets are so speculative and volatile, the prediction of the movement is very difficult. Daily return series of S&P CNX Nifty and its underlying index from 2000 to 2010 are taken for the analysis. The whole study period is divided in to five stages as per the market movement and structural break of the data series. The empirical results of the study reveals the determinants of the futures market in India.
About the author
Babu Jose ha conseguito il titolo di M.Com, BEd, M.Phil e PhD. La sua area di specializzazione è la finanza, il mercato dei capitali e i derivati finanziari e ha al suo attivo otto pubblicazioni internazionali e tre libri. Ha completato un progetto di ricerca sull'alfabetizzazione finanziaria e ha condotto una ricerca sul benessere finanziario e sul mercato delle opzioni.
