German Security Policy in the 21st Century - Problems, Partners and Perspectives

Informationen zum Autor Holger Mey is Independent Political Advisor and Director of the Institute for Strategic Analysis, Bonn, Germany. Klappentext "Berlin, 12 January 2030 - The crisis worsens. The Chancellor reaches for the telephone. He instructs his anteroom to put through a call to Germany's most important ally in order to discuss the situation and determine a further course of action." With whom would the chancellor speak? With the American, the French, or maybe even the Russian president? Or will the Chancellor only exercise representative functions while the real responsibility and decision-making authority lies with the President of the United Regions of Europe? This volume invites policy makers and politicians to use their imagination, to look beyond current events and take a long-term view on possible developments. Such projections, the author argues, lead to interesting conclusions for strategic planning. Zusammenfassung While cautioning against mere linear extrapolation of current trends, Mey (president, Institute for Strategic Analyses, Germany) seeks to identify the variables that can effect the German security environment to the year 2030. In addition to identifying the variables to which the German security est Inhaltsverzeichnis Chapter 1. Introduction Chapter 2. The Future Europe and Its Security Environment: Four Illustrative Scenarios for the Year 2030 Europe in the Year 2030: Two Scenarios Scenario I: The United Regions of Europe (URE) in the Year 2030 Scenario II: A Europe of Diverse Alliances between Nation-States Europe's International Security Environment in the Year 2030: Two Scenarios Scenario I: A Comparatively Peaceful International Environment Scenario II: A Threatening Security Environment Chapter 3. Security Trends Which Parameters Will Influence the Future Security Environment? The Role of Military Power in International Relations Forces and Means The Meaning of Military Power Military and Economic Power in International Relations The World of States and the International System The Law of Armed Conflict The Strategic Implications of Juridical Norms Permissibility (ius ad bellum) Conduct of War (ius in bello) The Globalization of Economics Global Civilizing Processes Ideals and Ideologies Public Opinion and Mass Media Shift of Emphasis Mode of Action The Instrumental Use of the Media The Operational Use of the Media Conclusions Population and Environmental Problems Developments in Military Technology Future Forms of Conflict Warfare in the Twenty-First Century - A Systematic Overview Three Categories of Military Conflict Characteristics of Future Wars Forms of Future War and Conflict Chapter 4. Political Actors and Critical Regions: What Lies Ahead for Germany? Germany U.S.A. The West European States Other European States The Russian Federation China and Asia The Caucasus Region North Africa Chapter 5. Risks and Challenges for Germany General Remarks Risk Categories Possible Zones of Risk for German Security: An Overview Future Forms of War and Armed Conflict: Implications for Germany Direct Attack and Aggression Further Forms of Armed Conflict Chapter 6. Summary and Sensitivity Assessments: Germany's Strategic Surroundings in the Year 2030 Chapter 7. Conclusions: The Bundeswehr and the Future Strategic Environment Risk Calculus Tasks and Roles in the Alliance Summarizing Conclusions Regarding Selected Structural Characteristics of the Armed Forces Appendix I: The Bundeswehr of the Future: Selected Structural Characteristics Size and Dimension of the Armed Forces Presence and Availability of Personnel and Material Quality of Arms Technology ...

Product details

• Authors: Mey Holger, Holger Mey, Holger H. Mey
• Publisher: BERGHAHN BOOKS, INC
• Languages: English
• Product format: Hardback
• Released: 01.03.2004
• EAN: 9781571816634
• ISBN: 978-1-57181-663-4
• No. of pages: 160
• Subjects: Social sciences, law, business > Political science > Political science and political education; Peace and Conflict Studies