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Informationen zum Autor Ian Hacking is the winner of the Holberg International Memorial Prize 2009. Klappentext An introductory 2001 textbook on probability and induction written by a foremost philosopher of science. Zusammenfassung This is an introductory 2001 textbook on probability and induction written by one of the world's foremost philosophers of science. It offers a comprehensive course covering all basic definitions of induction and probability! and considers such topics as decision theory! Bayesianism! frequency ideas! and the philosophical problem of induction. Inhaltsverzeichnis Part I. Logic: 1. Logic; 2. What is inductive logic?; Part II. How to Calculate Probabilities: 3. The gambler's fallacy; 4. Elementary probability; 5. Conditional probability; 6. Basic laws of probability; 7. Bayes' rule; Part III. How to Combine Probabilities and Utilities: 8. Expected value; 9. Maximizing expected value; 10. Decision under uncertainty; Part IV. Kinds of Probability: 11. What do you mean?; 12. Theories about probability; Part V. Probability as a Measure of Belief: 13. Personal probabilities; 14. Coherence; 15. Learning from experience; Part VI. Probability as Frequency: 16. Stability; 17. Normal approximations; 18. Significance; 19. Confidence and inductive behaviour; Part VII. Probability Applied to Philosophy: 20. The philosophical problem of induction; 21. Learning from experience as an evasion of the problem; 22. Inductive behaviour as an evasion of the problem.
