Subjective Probability - The Real Thing

Klappentext This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field of probability theory! the book is both a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. After an introduction to basic probability theory! there are chapters on scientific hypothesis-testing! on changing your mind in response to generally uncertain observations! on expectations of the values of random variables! on de Finetti s dissolution of the so-called problem of induction! and on decision theory. Zusammenfassung This book offers a concise survey of basic probability theory from a thoroughly subjective point of view whereby probability is a mode of judgment. Written by one of the greatest figures in the field! it is a summation and synthesis of a lifetime of wrestling with these problems and issues. Inhaltsverzeichnis 1. Probability primer; 2. Testing scientific theories; 3. Probability dynamics; collaboration; 4. Expectation primer; 5. Updating on statistics; 6. Choosing.

Product details

• Authors: Richard Jeffrey, Richard (Princeton University Jeffrey, Richard C. Jeffrey
• Publisher: Cambridge University Press ELT
• Languages: English
• Product format: Paperback / Softback
• Released: 12.04.2004
• EAN: 9780521536684
• ISBN: 978-0-521-53668-4
• No. of pages: 142
• Subjects: Natural sciences, medicine, IT, technology > Mathematics > Probability theory, stochastic theory, mathematical statistics; Non-fiction book > Philosophy, religion > Philosophy: general, reference works