Fr. 146.00

Quantitative Credit Portfolio Management - Practical Innovations for Measuring Controlling Liquidity, Spread,

English · Hardback

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Informationen zum Autor ARIK BEN DOR, PHD, is a Director and Senior Analyst in the Quantitative Portfolio Strategy (QPS) Group at Barclays Capital Research. He joined the group in 2004 after completing a PhD in finance from the Kellogg School of Management. Ben Dor has published extensively in the Journal of Portfolio Management, Journal of Fixed Income, and Journal of Alternative Investments . LEV DYNKIN, PHD, is the founder and Global Head of the Quantitative Portfolio Strategy Group at Barclays Capital Research. Dynkin and the QPS group joined Barclays Capital in 2008 from Lehman Brothers where the group was a part of fixed income research since 1987?one of the longest tenures for an investor-focused research group on Wall Street. JAY HYMAN, PHD, is a Managing Director in the Quantitative Portfolio Strategy Group at Barclays Capital Research. He joined the group in 1991 and has since worked on issues of risk budgeting, cost of investment constraints, improved measures of risk sensitivities, and optimal risk diversification for portfolios spanning all fixed income asset classes. Hyman helped develop a number of innovative measures that have been broadly adopted by portfolio managers and that have changed standard industry practice. BRUCE D. PHELPS, PHD, is a Managing Director in the Quantitative Portfolio Strategy Group at Barclays Capital Research, which he joined in 2000. Prior to that, he was an institutional portfolio manager and head of fixed income at Ark Asset Management. Phelps was also senior economist at the Chicago Board of Trade, where he designed derivative contracts and electronic trading systems, and an international credit officer and foreign exchange trader at Wells Fargo Bank. Phelps is a member of the editorial board of the Financial Analysts Journal. Klappentext An innovative approach to post-crash credit portfolio managementCredit portfolio managers traditionally rely on fundamental research for decisions on issuer selection and sector rotation. Quantitative researchers tend to use more mathematical techniques for pricing models and to quantify credit risk and relative value. The information found here bridges these two approaches. In an intuitive and readable style, this book illustrates how quantitative techniques can help address specific questions facing today's credit managers and risk analysts.A targeted volume in the area of credit, this reliable resource contains some of the most recent and original research in this field, which addresses among other things important questions raised by the credit crisis of 2008-2009. Divided into two comprehensive parts, Quantitative Credit Portfolio Management offers essential insights into understanding the risks of corporate bonds--spread, liquidity, and Treasury yield curve risk--as well as managing corporate bond portfolios.* Presents comprehensive coverage of everything from duration time spread and liquidity cost scores to capturing the credit spread premium* Written by the number one ranked quantitative research group for four consecutive years by Institutional Investor* Provides practical answers to difficult question, including: What diversification guidelines should you adopt to protect portfolios from issuer-specific risk? Are you well-advised to sell securities downgraded below investment grade?Credit portfolio management continues to evolve, but with this book as your guide, you can gain a solid understanding of how to manage complex portfolios under dynamic events. Zusammenfassung An innovative approach to post-crash credit portfolio management Credit portfolio managers traditionally rely on fundamental research for decisions on issuer selection and sector rotation. Quantitative researchers tend to use more mathematical techniques for pricing models and to quantify credit risk and relative value. Inhaltsverzeichnis Foreword xvi...

List of contents

Foreword xvii
 
Introduction xix
 
Notes on Terminology xxvii
 
PART ONE Measuring the Market Risks of Corporate Bonds
 
CHAPTER 1 Measuring Spread Sensitivity of Corporate Bonds 3
 
Analysis of Corporate Bond Spread Behavior 5
 
A New Measure of Excess Return Volatility 20
 
Refinements and Further Tests 25
 
Summary and Implications for Portfolio Managers 30
 
Appendix: Data Description 34
 
CHAPTER 2 DTS for Credit Default Swaps 39
 
Estimation Methodology 40
 
Empirical Analysis of CDS Spreads 41
 
Appendix: Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Approach 51
 
CHAPTER 3 DTS for Sovereign Bonds 55
 
Spread Dynamics of Emerging Markets Debt 55
 
DTS for Developed Markets Sovereigns: The Case of Euro Treasuries 59
 
Managing Sovereign Risk Using DTS 66
 
CHAPTER 4 A Theoretical Basis for DTS 73
 
The Merton Model: A Zero-Coupon Bond 74
 
Dependence of Slope on Maturity 77
 
CHAPTER 5 Quantifying the Liquidity of Corporate Bonds 81
 
Liquidity Cost Scores (LCS) for U.S. Credit Bonds 82
 
Liquidity Cost Scores: Methodology 88
 
LCS for Trader-Quoted Bonds 92
 
LCS for Non-Quoted Bonds: The LCS Model 96
 
Testing the LCS Model: Out-of-Sample Tests 102
 
LCS for Pan-European Credit Bonds 113
 
Using LCS in Portfolio Construction 123
 
Trade Efficiency Scores (TES) 129
 
CHAPTER 6 Joint Dynamics of Default and Liquidity Risk 133
 
Spread Decomposition Methodology 138
 
What Drives OAS Differences across Bonds? 139
 
How Has the Composition of OAS Changed? 141
 
Spread Decomposition Using an Alternative Measure of Expected Default Losses 145
 
High-Yield Spread Decomposition 147
 
Applications of Spread Decomposition 147
 
Alternative Spread Decomposition Models 150
 
Appendix 152
 
CHAPTER 7 Empirical versus Nominal Durations of Corporate Bonds 157
 
Empirical Duration: Theory and Evidence 159
 
Segmentation in Credit Markets 173
 
Potential Stale Pricing and Its Effect on Hedge Ratios 173
 
Hedge Ratios Following Rating Changes: An Event Study Approach 179
 
Using Empirical Duration in Portfolio Management Applications 186
 
PART TWO Managing Corporate Bond Portfolios
 
CHAPTER 8 Hedging the Market Risk in Pairs Trades 197
 
Data and Hedging Simulation Methodology 199
 
Analysis of Hedging Results 200
 
Appendix: Hedging Pair-Wise Trades with Skill 208
 
CHAPTER 9 Positioning along the Credit Curve 213
 
Data and Methodology 214
 
Empirical Analysis 217
 
CHAPTER 10 The 2007-2009 Credit Crisis 229
 
Spread Behavior during the Credit Crisis 229
 
Applications of DTS 234
 
Advantages of DTS in Risk Model Construction 244
 
CHAPTER 11 A Framework for Diversification of Issuer Risk 249
 
Downgrade Risk before and after the Credit Crisis 250
 
Using DTS to Set Position-Size Ratios 257
 
Comparing and Combining the Two Approaches to Issuer Limits 260
 
CHAPTER 12 How Best to Capture the Spread Premium of Corporate Bonds? 265
 
The Credit Spread Premium 266
 
Measuring the Credit Spread Premium for the IG Corporate Index 266
 
Alternative Corporate Indexes 279
 
Capturing Spread Premium: Adopting an Alternative Corporate Benchmark 288
 
CHAPTER 13 Risk and Performance of Fallen Angels 295
 
Data and Methodology 298
 
Performance Dynamics around Rating Events 303
 
Fallen Angels as an Asset Class 319
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