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In the global-warming debate, definitive answers to questions about ultimate causes and effects remain elusive. In Global Warming: Myth or Reality? Marcel Leroux seeks to separate fact from fiction in this critical debate from a climatological perspective. Beginning with a review of the dire hypotheses for climate trends, the author describes the history of the 1998 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and many subsequent conferences. He discusses the main conclusions of the three IPCC reports and the predicted impact on global temperatures, rainfall, weather and climate, while highlighting the mounting confusion and sensationalism of reports in the media. After taking a hard look at the reality of the greenhouse effect, the 'evidence' from climate models, and the models' limitations, Leroux postulates alternate causes of climate change and analyzes the trends for global temperatures, rainfall patterns, and sea level. He poses the 'heretical' question if warming may be considered a benefit in some regions. Finally Leroux suggests a number of priorities for climatologists to better understand processes of climate change, to integrate them into climate models, and to predict accurately future changes in climate. This timely and controversial book lays out the scientific case of the sizable skeptical scientific community who challenge the accepted wisdom.
List of contents
The subject, the players, and the principle basis.- History of the notion of global warming.- Conclusions of the IPCC (Working Group I).- Science, media, politics....- Greenhouse effect - water effect.- Causes of climate change.- Models and climate.- The general circulation of the atmosphere.- The lessons of the observation of real facts.- The observational facts: Past climates.- The observational facts: Present temperatures.- The observational facts: Weather, rainfall, and drought.- The observational facts: Climate and aerological units.- The North Atlantic aerological unit.- The North Pacific aerological unit.- The lessons of the observation of real facts in the aerological units: Conclusion.- The observational facts: Sea level and circulation.- General conclusion.
Summary
In the global-warming debate, definitive answers to questions about ultimate causes and effects remain elusive. In Global Warming: Myth or Reality? Marcel Leroux seeks to separate fact from fiction in this critical debate from a climatological perspective. Beginning with a review of the dire hypotheses for climate trends, the author describes the history of the 1998 Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and many subsequent conferences. He discusses the main conclusions of the three IPCC reports and the predicted impact on global temperatures, rainfall, weather and climate, while highlighting the mounting confusion and sensationalism of reports in the media. After taking a hard look at the reality of the greenhouse effect, the ‘evidence’ from climate models, and the models’ limitations, Leroux postulates alternate causes of climate change and analyzes the trends for global temperatures, rainfall patterns, and sea level. He poses the ‘heretical’ question if warming may be considered a benefit in some regions. Finally Leroux suggests a number of priorities for climatologists to better understand processes of climate change, to integrate them into climate models, and to predict accurately future changes in climate. This timely and controversial book lays out the scientific case of the sizable skeptical scientific community who challenge the accepted wisdom.
Additional text
Aus den Rezensionen:
"… Als Professor für Klimatologie … ging Leroux dieser Entdeckung nach, indem er eine Vielzahl von Satellitenphotos auswertete. … Der … Klimatologe wirft seinen Zunftkollegen in einer ... grundlegenden Auseinandersetzung mit der These von der ‘Globalen Erwärmung‘ vor, … überkommene Vorstellungen von den Triebkräften des Wettergeschehens kritisch in Frage zu stellen …Demgegenüber hat Leroux Ansatz, … den Vorteil, die seit den 70er Jahren ohne Zweifel wachsende Zahl von Wetterextremen nachprüfbar erklären zu können …"
(Edgar Gärtner, in: Schweizer Monatshefte Zeitschrift für Politik Wirtschaft Kultur, 2006, Vol. 86, Issue 11-12, S. 57 f.)
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Aus den Rezensionen:
"... Als Professor für Klimatologie ... ging Leroux dieser Entdeckung nach, indem er eine Vielzahl von Satellitenphotos auswertete. ... Der ... Klimatologe wirft seinen Zunftkollegen in einer ... grundlegenden Auseinandersetzung mit der These von der 'Globalen Erwärmung' vor, ... überkommene Vorstellungen von den Triebkräften des Wettergeschehens kritisch in Frage zu stellen ...Demgegenüber hat Leroux Ansatz, ... den Vorteil, die seit den 70er Jahren ohne Zweifel wachsende Zahl von Wetterextremen nachprüfbar erklären zu können ..."
(Edgar Gärtner, in: Schweizer Monatshefte Zeitschrift für Politik Wirtschaft Kultur, 2006, Vol. 86, Issue 11-12, S. 57 f.)
