Probability and Evidence

Klappentext This 1982 volume presents a clear and unified approach to a number of problems in the philosophy of science. Zusammenfassung This 1982 volume diagnoses the failure of other attempts to a number of problems in the philosophy of science as stemming from a too-rigid! all-or-nothing conception of belief! and adopts instead a Bayesian strategy! emphasising the degree of confidence to which we are entitled the light of scientific evidence. Inhaltsverzeichnis Preface; Part I. Methodology: 1. Introduction; 2. Aspects of the scientific method; 3. A taste of Bayesianism; Part II. Probability: 4. The primitive theory; 5. Subjectivism; 6. The rationalist interpretation; 7. The logical interpretation; 8. The evidential state; 9. The empirical interpretation; Part III. Confirmation: 10. Explications; 11. The paradox; 12. A Bayesian pseudo-solution to the problem of induction; 13. Projection; Part IV. Induction; Section 1. The Nature of Inductive Inference; Section 2. Conditions of Rationality: 14. Demonstrable reliability; 15. The demonstrable reliability of c+; 16. Immodesty; 17. Audacity; Section 3. The Justification of Induction: 18. The impossibility of a noncircular rationale; 19. Inductive demonstration of reliability; 20. Semantic justification; Part V. Prediction: 21. Surprise; 22. Severe tests; 23. Ad hoc hypothesis; 24. Prediction versus accommodation; Part VI. Evidence: 25. The evidential value of varied data; 26. The value of further data; Part VII. Realism: 27. Popper; 28. Realism versus instrumentalism; 29. Putnam; 30. Glymour; 31. Conclusion; Bibliography; Index.

Product details

• Authors: Paul Horwich
• Publisher: Cambridge University Press ELT
• Languages: English
• Product format: Paperback / Softback
• Released: 16.06.2011
• EAN: 9780521283366
• ISBN: 978-0-521-28336-6
• No. of pages: 158
• Series: Cambridge Studies in Philosoph
• Subjects: Natural sciences, medicine, IT, technology > Natural sciences (general); Non-fiction book > Philosophy, religion > Philosophy: general, reference works