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The idea for this book had its origins in a series of working papers prepared for the Georgia Transportation Planning Land Use Model project. The book is not an official report on that project and does not necessarily reflect the views of the Georgia Department of Transportation. Mrs. Catherine Bennett, Systems Designer, assisted in the special run of the Georgia State Econometric Model in Chapter 2. Mr. Richard Burns and Miss Louise Shedd, research assistant!i, aided in data assembly and analysis for Chapters 3 and 5. The authors wish to express their particular thanks to Mrs. Dallas Gonzales, who provided editorial assistance, and to Mrs. Deborah Conklin, who typed the final manuscript. Table of contents PREFACE v LIST OF TABLES x LIST OF FIGURES xii 1. INTRODUCTION AND OVERVIEW PAUL F. WENDT Urban growth theories 1 Land use models 4 The Georgia transportation planning land use model 6 Employment and population submodel 7 Description of the Delphi technique 8 Housing and population submodel 9 Relationships between land use forecasting 10 Summary 12 2. NATIONAL AND REGIONAL ECONOMETRIC MODELS 16 JOHN B. LEGLER AND TERRY D. ROBERTSON Macro-econometric models 16 Problems in constructing regional econometric models 19 The Georgia model 20 Testing the Georgia model 22 Forecasts and applications of the Georgia model 25 An example of impact analysis using the Georgia state model 28 Summary 30 3. GROWTH AND CHANGE IN THE GEORGIA REGIONAL ECONOMIES 32 CHARLES F.
Sommario
1. Introduction and Overview.- Urban growth theories.- Land use models.- The Georgia transportation planning land use model.- Summary.- 2. National and Regional Econometric Models.- Macro-econometric models.- The Georgia model.- Summary.- 3. Growth and Change in the Georgia Regional Economies.- Growth and change in the Georgia economy: restrospect.- The Georgia regional economies: retrospect.- Growth and change in the Georgia economy: prospect.- Summary.- 4. A Delphi Approach to Land Use Forecasting.- Forecasting land use.- The Delphi technique.- Designing the Delphi land use study.- The Delphi forecast.- Summary and conclusions.- 5. Land Suitability and Land Use Analysis.- Data.- The model.- Future modifications.- 6. The Interaction of Transportation and Land Use.- Problems.- Theoretical models.- Applied models.- The theoretical model.- Transportation and land use planning.- Conclusions.- 7. Summary and Conclusions.- Estimating population and employment.- Policy-determined constraints and land use allocations.- Introducing alternative transportation plans.- The transportation planning decision process.- Using the transportation decision model.
