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This book examines one of the most important questions in peace research: What leads to enduring peace after civil wars, and what leads to the resurgence of violence? For decades, intrastate conflicts have been the predominant form of armed conflict, and most recent civil wars were conflicts that recurred. The research presented in this book focuses on influenceable factors, first and foremost on the type of civil war termination and on the post-civil war order that is shaped by the distribution of military power between the former warring parties and the scale of political compromise. Moreover, it shows that the peacekeeping environment has a major influence on whether peace endures. The insights provided in this book are relevant for the academic community, and for decision-makers and practitioners involved in civilian or military efforts to establish and preserve peace.
Table des matières
Chap 1: Why study the recurrence of civil war?.- Chap 2:The Dataset on Post-Civil War Power and Compromise 1990 2012.- Chap 3:Divergence between relative military power and the scale of political compromise as a path to civil war recurrence.- Chap 4: Preventing civil war recurrence: Do military victories really perform better than peace agreements? Causal claim and underpinning assumptions revisited.- Chap 5: Why civil war recurrence is more likely after ceasefires than after peace agreements.- Chap 6: Does peacekeeping only work in easy environments? An analysis of conflict characteristics, mission profiles, and civil war recurrence.- Chap 7:Opportunity and civil war recurrence: Where the resumption of civil war is feasible, it will not inevitably occur.- Chap 8: Conclusion.
A propos de l'auteur
Dr. habil. Thorsten Gromes is a senior researcher at the Peace Research Institute Frankfurt (PRIF), Germany.
Résumé
This book examines one of the most important questions in peace research: What leads to enduring peace after civil wars, and what leads to the resurgence of violence? For decades, intrastate conflicts have been the predominant form of armed conflict, and most recent civil wars were conflicts that recurred. The research presented in this book focuses on influenceable factors, first and foremost on the type of civil war termination and on the post-civil war order that is shaped by the distribution of military power between the former warring parties and the scale of political compromise. Moreover, it shows that the peacekeeping environment has a major influence on whether peace endures. The insights provided in this book are relevant for the academic community, and for decision-makers and practitioners involved in civilian or military efforts to establish and preserve peace.
