Experts in Uncertainty: Opinion and Subjective Probability in Science - print on demand title

Zusatztext `clearly and meticulously presented ... a book that is so clear and honest about the limitations of its approach! is to be warmly welcomed as a contribution to a discussion which is by no means ended.'New Scientist Klappentext Experts in Uncertainty is an extensive survey and critical examination of the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making. Zusammenfassung This is an extensive survey and critical examination of the literature on the use of expert opinion in scientific inquiry and policy making.Cooke considers how expert opinion is being used today, how an expert's uncertainty is or should be represented, how people do or should reason with uncertainty, how the quality and usefulness of expert opinion can be assessed, and how the views of several experts might be combined. He argues for the importance of developing practical models with a transparent mathematical foundation for the use of expert opinion in science, and presents three tested models. Detailed case studies illustrate how they can be applied to a diversity of real problems in engineering and planning.

Product details

• Authors: Roger M. Cooke, Cooke Roger M.
• Assisted by: Kristin Shrader-Frechette (Editor)
• Publisher: Oxford University Press
• Languages: English
• Product format: Hardback
• Released: 30.01.1992
• EAN: 9780195064650
• ISBN: 978-0-19-506465-0
• No. of pages: 336
• Dimensions: 159 mm x 237 mm x 28 mm
• Series: Environmental Ethics and Science Policy Series
• Subjects: Education and learning > Teaching preparation > Vocational needs; Science: general issues, SCIENCE / Philosophy & Social Aspects, SCIENCE / Research & Methodology, TECHNOLOGY & ENGINEERING / Social Aspects, Philosophy of Science, Impact of science & technology on society, Impact of science and technology on society, SOCIAL SCIENCE / Technology Studies, Scientific research, Science Funding & Policy, Science funding and policy, Research methods: general