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Despite the concern among donors, governments and practitioners about their success in reaching the poor, the lack of reliable low-cost tools makes it difficult to determine if development programs meet their poverty targeting objectives. This study develops an operational assessment tool of monetary poverty for Peru. In a comparative step-by-step procedure, it discusses aspects like the practicability of indicators, methods for indicator selection, comparisons of logistic, least-square, and quantile regression, the poverty classification of households, robustness of the tools over time and across sub-groups, and what Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curves can contribute. In doing that, it also provides a general methodological pathway for the development of tools used for time and cost-saving targeting assessments.
List of contents
Contents: Definitions and concepts of poverty - Purposes of monetary poverty assessment - Targeting methods - Prediction approaches in proxy means testing - Accuracy measures - ROC analysis - Out-of-sample validation - Practicability of indicator sets - Regression techniques - Poverty classification of households - Robustness tests.
About the author
The Author: Julia Johannsen holds a Masters and Doctoral degree in Socioeconomics of Rural Development from Goettingen University. She participated in several development and research projects in Latin America and currently works at the Interamerican Development Bank in the targeting, design and evaluation of social programs.
